The Revolution Will Not Be Podcast, Blogged or Wikied
Columnist Joshua Greenbaum has been commenting on IT for as far back as I can remember. His most recent article, "The Revolution Will Not Be Podcast," helps to deflate some of the hype around Web 2.0. Josh doesn't believe that so-called tech revolutions over the past 20 years -- such as "the PC revolution, the Mac revolution, the Windows revolution, the Unix revolution, the business process re-engineering revolution, the client-server revolution, the ERP revolution, the open-source revolution, and, more recently and most tellingly, the dot-com revolution" -- were indeed all that revolutionary. He writes:
Each one promised to sweep aside the old and wholly replace it with the new. Each proposed ways to disintermediate the sinners of the past from their manifold sins and show the world how the one true way could change everything we say and think and do. And each, by the time it had run its course, proved that "the more it changes, the more it remains the same" trumps "vive la revolution" in the slogan wars every time.Personally, I disagree with Josh's assessment that revolutions mean "sweeping aside the old and wholly replacing it with the new." Rather, I prefer to think in terms of paradigm shifts, especially in terms of revolutionary changes to the user interface. Paradigm shifts create new possibilities.
Do you remember old-fashioned batch systems which depended on punch cards or magnetic tapes? They were revolutionarily different than the online transactions processing systems that succeeded them. Mind you, online transaction processing systems, such as those built using IBM's CICS with 3270 terminals, didn't really replace or even supercede older batch systems. Rather, they enabled the introduction of entirely new types of applications that had previously been impossible to develop.
The next major wave of software user interface evolution depended on character-based asynchronous terminals, such as DEC's VT100s. Where 3270s displayed entire pages with each communication interaction, VT100s interacted with the host computer one character at-a-time. This allowed portions of a display screen to incrementally change based on a user's input.
The original PCs were quite similar to VT100s except in the revolutionary way that they supported direct memory mapping to the display. This powerful capability eventually led to a Mac-like GUI interface known as WIMP -- windows, icons, menus, and pointing devices (or windows, icons, mouse, and pull-down menus).
Next came Web browsers which, like 3270s, displayed entire pages with each communication interaction.
Now, with the emergence of AJAX (which is reminiscent of VT100s where portions of a screen can be dynamically modified), we're beginning to see new kinds of applications such as what's demonstrated by Google Maps.
Each major paradigm shift brings with it a whole new class of application capabilities. That doesn't necessarily mean that it eliminates all that preceded it. Of course, problems are often defined in terms of available solutions. So it's not surprising that once a new tool is invented, practitioners often tend to look at every problem in terms of how to solve it using the new technology.






Only in George Bush's America could 18 families worth a total of $185.5 billion have financed and coordinated a multimillion-dollar lobbying effort to repeal the federal estate tax, a move that would collectively net them a windfall of $71.6 billion (see 

The politically left-leaning
The current speculation is that "Rove may be turning state's evidence," and that "that the scope of Fitzgerald's investigation may have broadened."



Google continues to spew out wonderful software innovations beyond just search -- all at no charge.
Unfortunately the future looks pretty bleak. Whoever succeeds Bush is going to inherit a war in Iraq that can't be won militarily, tax cuts set to expire in 2010, and a national debt rapidly approaching $10 trillion that's growing an average of $1.78 billion per day.
giving government instant access to detailed knowledge of the numbers, and thus indirectly the identities, of whomever we phone; when and for how long; and what other calls the person phoned has made or received. Even if one trusts the president's promise not to connect all the dots to the degree the technology permits, the act of collecting all those dots in a form that permits their complete connection is a realization of the
Unfortunately, the health and well-being of IT departments have pretty much followed the same trajectory as Bush's approval ratings. 



Wanna get angry? Read Charlie Savage's
Then, after the media and the lawmakers have left the White House, Bush quietly files 'signing statements' -- official documents in which a president lays out his legal interpretation of a bill for the federal bureaucracy to follow when implementing the new law. The statements are recorded in the federal register.
Site Feed
